Aldershot Town 1-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Apr 2025

Aldershot Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Sutton United
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Aldershot Town vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.07
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.14
X/2
7%
6.73
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
19%
4.66
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.61/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.33
+6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
179 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 116 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Aldershot Town vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sutton United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.01.2025 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
01.05.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 3-1 HT 2-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
06.10.2020 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
26.08.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
29.12.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 2-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
27.08.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Aldershot Town 1-1 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
1-1
AWAY Sutton United
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
1 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town and Sutton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 46% of the ball to Sutton United's 54%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.67 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Sutton United?

Aldershot Town 1-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 39%, draw 28%, Sutton United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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