Buxton vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buxton v Chorley — Team-Based Signals
Buxton vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Buxton
İCON
2-2
HT 0-1
Buxton
İCON
2-2
HT 0-1
Chorley
İCON
Buxton 1-0 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics
Buxton nicked a narrow win over Chorley 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Buxton found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Buxton had 55% of the ball to Chorley's 45%, shots finished 7-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Buxton and 2.50 for Chorley.
What was the final score of Buxton vs Chorley?
Buxton 1-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buxton vs Chorley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Buxton 38%, draw 29%, Chorley 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.