Dorking Wanderers 4-2 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
27%
4.95
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.71 — our 24% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-18.9pp
27%
Draw
17%
+10.0pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.15/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.97
+9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-2 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
19.03.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
15.01.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-2 HT 1-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
02.01.2021 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
26.12.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
4-2
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers got the better of Hampton & Richmond 4-2. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 59% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 41%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.40 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Hampton & Richmond?

Dorking Wanderers 4-2 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 53%, draw 27%, Hampton & Richmond 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ BTTS No
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