Hereford FC 3-0 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.8
Over
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.94
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
19%
3.66
6+
10%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
61%
-19.4pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.5pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.83/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.39
-1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Leamington
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.01.2025 Leamington Leamington 2-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
07.04.2023 Leamington Leamington 2-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
27.09.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
12.03.2022 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
25.09.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
06.02.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
3-0
AWAY Leamington
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC swept aside Leamington 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hereford FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hereford FC had 61% of the ball to Leamington's 39%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leamington led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hereford FC and 0.83 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Leamington?

Hereford FC 3-0 Leamington in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 42%, draw 32%, Leamington 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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