Spennymoor Town 1-1 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.34/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.53
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-5D-0L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2025 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
06.04.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
09.01.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
18.02.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
29.10.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-2 HT 2-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
1-1
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town and Scarborough Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 48% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.40 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic?

Spennymoor Town 1-1 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 45%, draw 29%, Scarborough Athletic 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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