Rotherham United 3-3 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

Rotherham United
3-3 HT 2-1
Mansfield Town
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.86
Over
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.15
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.45
6+
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
5.73
X/2
8%
5.73
X/X
17%
4.7
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.82
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rotherham United v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.60/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.23
+34% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 72%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
25.9 Crosses 21.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.87 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
188 Passes 380
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
20.08.2024 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İNTK
16.07.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United HAZ
26.04.2008 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
06.10.2007 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-2 HT 2-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
04.09.2007 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNTK

Rotherham United 3-3 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
3-3
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.07 xG 2.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
235 Passes 369
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United and Mansfield Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rotherham United had 40% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.07 to 2.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rotherham United and 0.67 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town?

Rotherham United 3-3 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 38%, draw 30%, Mansfield Town 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rotherham United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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