Mansfield Town 1-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.82
Over
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.98
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
22%
3.53
6+
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
12%
4.77
X/2
11%
6.35
X/X
11%
4.67
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
17%
4.65
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 34%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.11/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.06
-100% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
281 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 67%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
32.0 Crosses 22.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Rotherham United
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.75 xG 1.26
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
555 Passes 139
86% Pass Accuracy 60%
34 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İNTK
16.07.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United HAZ
26.04.2008 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
06.10.2007 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-2 HT 2-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
04.09.2007 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
1-0
AWAY Rotherham United
0.99 xG 0.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
204 Passes 237
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town nicked a narrow win over Rotherham United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mansfield Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 48% of the ball to Rotherham United's 52%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.60 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Rotherham United?

Mansfield Town 1-0 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 39%, draw 27%, Rotherham United 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Under 2.5
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