Poole Town 4-0 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.15
Over
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
35%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.35/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.96
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 5-0 HT 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
31.08.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 1-1 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town FAK
23.01.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 1-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-7 HT 2-4 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
19.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-1 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
07.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Poole Town
4-0
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town swept aside Swindon Supermarine 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Poole Town made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Poole Town had 54% of the ball to Swindon Supermarine's 46%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Poole Town and 2.00 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Poole Town 4-0 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 40%, draw 25%, Swindon Supermarine 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poole Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Poole Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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