FK Karlskrona 3-1 Karlshamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.79/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.98
+22% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Karlshamn
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
13.09.2024 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 4-1 HT 2-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
17.05.2024 Karlshamn 2-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
04.08.2021 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 4-0 HT 2-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
09.06.2021 Karlshamn 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Karlskrona
3-1
AWAY Karlshamn
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Karlshamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona saw off Karlshamn 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Karlskrona had 64% of the ball to Karlshamn's 36%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FK Karlskrona and 1.25 for Karlshamn.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Karlshamn?

FK Karlskrona 3-1 Karlshamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Karlshamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 52%, draw 29%, Karlshamn 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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