Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over Pick
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.52/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/2.09
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.09.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-1 HT 3-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
11.05.2024 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 3-0 HT 2-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
29.09.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 5-4 HT 3-2 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
26.05.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
16.10.2022 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-3 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
25.08.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 4-0 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK and Grebbestads IF shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs FK had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 1.50 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestads IF?

Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grebbestads IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 37%, draw 24%, Grebbestads IF 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grebbestads IF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grebbestads IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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