Mjallby 3-1 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 18 Apr 2025

Mjallby
3-1 HT 3-1
Hammarby
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Mjallby vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.86
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
11%
5.54
X/2
13%
5.64
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.97
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjallby v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +15%
1.35/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.14
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
19.1 Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Mjallby vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hammarby
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.37
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 414
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
15.05.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
04.03.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK
27.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-3 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
09.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.03.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK

Mjallby 3-1 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
3-1
AWAY Hammarby
1.19 xG 1.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
276 Passes 433
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby got the better of Hammarby 3-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mjallby found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjallby had 41% of the ball to Hammarby's 59%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.19 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mjallby and 1.17 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Hammarby?

Mjallby 3-1 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 40%, draw 26%, Hammarby 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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