FeralpiSalo 2-0 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.71
Over
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.72
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
19%
3.95
6+
9%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -18%
1.52/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.31
-4% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
05.02.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
09.10.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-1 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
16.02.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-3 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
09.10.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-2 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
26.01.2014 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
2-0
AWAY Pro Vercelli
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo got the better of Pro Vercelli 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 64% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 36%, shots finished 18-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.83 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Pro Vercelli?

FeralpiSalo 2-0 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 53%, draw 23%, Pro Vercelli 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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