Municipal 1-0 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.96/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.45
+9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
5 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.10.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
21.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 5-1 HT 2-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
30.07.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-0
AWAY Guastatoya
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal squeezed past Guastatoya 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Municipal had 59% of the ball to Guastatoya's 41%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Guastatoya?

Municipal 1-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Municipal 51%, draw 28%, Guastatoya 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ BTTS No
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