FC Eindhoven 0-4 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.34
1/2
9%
21.25
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
17%
7.94
X/2
13%
4.94
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
18%
2.58
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -25%
1.17/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.98
-13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
16.3 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Telstar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.22 xG 0.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2024 Telstar Telstar 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.04.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
01.09.2023 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
03.03.2023 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
18.11.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
22.04.2022 Telstar Telstar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
0-4
AWAY Telstar
0.28 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
314 Passes 410
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar ran out comfortable winners over FC Eindhoven 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Telstar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 45% of the ball to Telstar's 55%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.28 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.17 for Telstar.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Telstar?

FC Eindhoven 0-4 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 38%, draw 23%, Telstar 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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