Helmond Sport 1-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.2
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
17%
7.82
X/2
14%
4.95
X/X
14%
5.83
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
15%
2.6
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.2 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.21/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.38
-4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.1 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cambuur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.15 xG 2.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 365
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 0-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
10.05.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
01.09.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
16.04.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 4-1 HT 2-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
06.10.2020 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-5 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.09.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 5-1 HT 3-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
1-1
AWAY Cambuur
0.88 xG 1.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
315 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport and Cambuur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 49% of the ball to Cambuur's 51%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.88 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Helmond Sport and 2.67 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Cambuur?

Helmond Sport 1-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 36%, draw 25%, Cambuur 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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