MVV Maastricht 5-0 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.73
X/2
10%
8.62
X/X
7%
5.91
2/1
7%
20.7
2/2
9%
5.98
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.2
Value flag · 2/X at 14.2 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.87/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.37
+34% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.6 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 353
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 4-3 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
19.01.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
30.10.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
17.03.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
14.11.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-0 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
08.04.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-4 HT 2-2 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
5-0
AWAY Utrecht II
2.41 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
519 Passes 391
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
38 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ MVV Maastricht vs Utrecht II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

MVV Maastricht ran out comfortable winners over Utrecht II 5-0 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18 Apr 2025. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 57% of the ball to Utrecht II's 43%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.41 to 0.67.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht II lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MVV Maastricht and 2.00 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Utrecht II?

MVV Maastricht 5-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 50%, draw 26%, Utrecht II 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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