Larne FC 2-1 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.17
6+ Goals
7%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 33% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.24
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
11%
4.86
X/2
13%
6.46
X/X
11%
4.23
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
17%
5.01
2/X
9%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-9.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.38/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.93
-4% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
14.09.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
22.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
30.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC nicked a narrow win over Linfield FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Larne FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Larne FC and 1.00 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Linfield FC?

Larne FC 2-1 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 33%, draw 28%, Linfield FC 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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