Napoli vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 0-2 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio saw off Napoli 2-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Napoli carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. At 1.64 (~61%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, Napoli had 67% of the ball to Lazio's 33%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.51 to 2.29.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napoli and 1.33 for Lazio.
Napoli vs Lazio Result & Final Score
Napoli 0 - 2 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Lazio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Napoli 63%, draw 22%, Lazio 15%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Napoli) went the other way.