Roma 1-1 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 Apr 2026

Roma
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Atalanta
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Roma vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.19
2-3
47%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.43
6+
5%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.43
1/2
2%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.42
X/2
11%
6.15
X/X
18%
4.47
2/1
2%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.16
2/X
6%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Roma v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Roma The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.68 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
1.04 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Roma vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atalanta
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
369 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.01.2026 Atalanta Atalanta 1-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
12.05.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 1-1 Roma Roma İTA
02.12.2024 Roma Roma 0-2 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
12.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 2-0 Roma Roma İTA
07.01.2024 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 1-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
24.04.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA

Roma 1-1 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
1 - 1
AWAY Atalanta
1.07 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
462 Passes 394
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Roma vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Roma and Atalanta finished all square at 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Roma at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Roma had 53% of the ball to Atalanta's 47%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Roma and 1.83 for Atalanta.

Roma vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Roma 1 - 1 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Roma vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Roma 41%, draw 29%, Atalanta 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✓ BTTS Yes
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