Hessen Kassel 2-3 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Apr 2026

Hessen Kassel
2-3 HT 1-2
Freiburg II
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.2pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hessen Kassel v Freiburg II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.31/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.53
-23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Freiburg II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2025 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-3 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
01.12.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
03.08.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-3 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
22.05.2021 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
02.02.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
15.03.2015 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-2 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II edged past Hessen Kassel 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hessen Kassel at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hessen Kassel and 1.33 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II?

Hessen Kassel 2-3 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hessen Kassel win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 44%, draw 19%, Freiburg II 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hessen Kassel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hessen Kassel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
18 Apr 2026
14:00 Hannover 96 II vs Drochtersen / Assel Analysis →
15:00 Altglienicke vs Magdeburg II Analysis →
15:00 Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hallescher FC Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Trier vs Astoria Walldorf Analysis →
15:00 SGV Freiberg vs Steinbach Analysis →
15:00 Sandhausen vs Lehnerz Analysis →