NWS Spirit 2-3 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
0.96/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.16
+26% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +57%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
251 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses 15.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sydney United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.76 xG 2.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
295 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Sydney United Sydney United 0-2 HT 0-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
15.03.2025 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-1 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
12.06.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 3-0 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
05.03.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-1 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
09.08.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 3-2 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
23.04.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 2-2 HT 0-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United squeezed past NWS Spirit 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sydney United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NWS Spirit and 1.50 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?

NWS Spirit 2-3 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 21%, draw 26%, Sydney United 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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