Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 18 Apr 2026

Wellington Phoenix
2-1 HT 1-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 33%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
1.52/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.64
+8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
16.5 Crosses 18.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 1.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
411 Passes 475
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.02.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
29.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.12.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
23.12.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
21.04.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS

Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix
2-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.06 xG 1.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
281 Passes 379
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix nicked a narrow win over Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wellington Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 44% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 56%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.06 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 2.00 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 44%, draw 23%, Western Sydney Wanderers 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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