Mushuc Runa 1-0 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.43/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.04
+40% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.8 Crosses 15.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
205 Passes 262
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
01.11.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
27.07.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-1 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
06.04.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
30.09.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 2-2 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
13.04.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-0
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.29 xG 0.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
362 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 13
7 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mushuc Runa edged past Tecnico Universitario 1-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 18 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 62% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 38%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.29 to 0.60.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.00 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario?

Mushuc Runa 1-0 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 46%, draw 29%, Tecnico Universitario 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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