Mushuc Runa 1-0 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.42/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.09
+32% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
23.6 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
217 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
27.07.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-1 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
06.04.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
30.09.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 2-2 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
13.04.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
05.11.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-0
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.83 xG 0.46
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
152 Passes 218
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mushuc Runa edged past Tecnico Universitario 1-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 22 Nov 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 42% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 58%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.83 to 0.46.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.00 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario?

Mushuc Runa 1-0 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 45%, draw 25%, Tecnico Universitario 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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