Uni. Catolica 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.89/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.54
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.4 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Libertad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.95 xG 1.27
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
406 Passes 212
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
17.08.2025 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad EKV1
29.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
10.08.2024 Uni. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
25.07.2024 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad CSA
18.07.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
1-1
AWAY Libertad
2.02 xG 0.70
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
392 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Uni. Catolica vs Libertad
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Uni. Catolica and Libertad shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Ecuador - Premier on 22 Nov 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 61% of the ball to Libertad's 39%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.02 to 0.70.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.67 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Libertad?

Uni. Catolica 1-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 67%, draw 20%, Libertad 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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