Libertad 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.32/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.15
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.0 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 1.59
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
224 Passes 397
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad EKV1
29.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
10.08.2024 Uni. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
25.07.2024 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad CSA
18.07.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica CSA
12.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.69 xG 3.21
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
163 Passes 459
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad and Uni. Catolica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Libertad had 31% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 69%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.69 to 3.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad and 0.83 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Uni. Catolica?

Libertad 1-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Libertad 37%, draw 24%, Uni. Catolica 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →