Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Colwyn Bay — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
2-1
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
GAL
4-0
HT 2-0
Colwyn Bay
GALWK
Connahs Quay 1-1 Colwyn Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay and Colwyn Bay shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 59% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 41%, shots finished 8-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.17 for Colwyn Bay.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay?
Connahs Quay 1-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 46%, draw 19%, Colwyn Bay 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS No went the other way.