Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caernarfon Town beat Penybont 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caernarfon Town and 2.00 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town 2-0 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 48%, draw 21%, Penybont 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.