Jong Almere City 3-0 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.25
No
33%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
76%
-9.0pp
33%
BTTS No
24%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.82/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.04
+8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Jong Sparta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-2 HT 1-1 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
14.12.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 3-4 HT 2-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
02.03.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-0 HT 1-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
21.11.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 1-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Almere City
3-0
AWAY Jong Sparta
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City swept aside Jong Sparta 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Jong Almere City found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

On the day, Jong Almere City had 53% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jong Almere City and 2.25 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta?

Jong Almere City 3-0 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 37%, draw 29%, Jong Sparta 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Almere City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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