AD Marco 09 1-0 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 37%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -23%
1.54/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.52
+25% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Fafe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 1-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
07.12.2025 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 1-1 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
24.08.2025 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
1-0
AWAY Fafe
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ AD Marco 09 vs Fafe
Match summary & frequently asked questions

AD Marco 09 edged past Fafe 1-0 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 55% of the ball to Fafe's 45%, shots finished 10-3.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AD Marco 09 and 0.67 for Fafe.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Fafe?

AD Marco 09 1-0 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 36%, draw 27%, Fafe 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fafe), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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