Trofense 0-1 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
1.41/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.24
+15% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Varzim
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2026 Varzim Varzim 2-0 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
20.12.2025 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
11.10.2025 Trofense Trofense 2-1 HT 1-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
30.08.2025 Trofense Trofense 5-1 HT 3-0 Varzim Varzim POK
18.01.2025 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
06.10.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
0-1
AWAY Varzim
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Trofense vs Varzim
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Varzim edged past Trofense 1-0 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Trofense had 51% of the ball to Varzim's 49%, shots finished 9-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trofense and 1.33 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Varzim?

Trofense 0-1 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trofense 38%, draw 27%, Varzim 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trofense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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