Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.32/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.18
-11% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-3 HT 0-2 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
04.01.2026 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
22.11.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-2 HT 0-2 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POK
28.09.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
24.09.2023 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
1-0
AWAY Sporting Covilha
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilha
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lusitano Évora 1911 edged past Sporting Covilha 1-0 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18 Apr 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 44% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 56%, shots finished 9-6.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lusitano Évora 1911 have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 0.60 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilha?

Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 53%, draw 27%, Sporting Covilha 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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