Uthai Thani 4-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.19/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.10
-29% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
24.5 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uthai Thani
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.76 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 261
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Rayong FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
01.02.2025 Rayong FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
15.09.2024 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 3-1 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
05.02.2023 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY1
18.09.2022 Rayong FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uthai Thani
4-1
AWAY Rayong FC
1.07 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
244 Passes 273
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uthai Thani swept aside Rayong FC 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uthai Thani as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Uthai Thani had 46% of the ball to Rayong FC's 54%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.07 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uthai Thani had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Uthai Thani and 1.20 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC?

Uthai Thani 4-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Uthai Thani 46%, draw 28%, Rayong FC 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uthai Thani), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uthai Thani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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