Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v Nakhon Ratchasima — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
1-1
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
2-0
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
Muang Thong United 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima — Actual Match Statistics
Muang Thong United edged past Nakhon Ratchasima 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 58% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 42%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.17 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.00 for Nakhon Ratchasima.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Muang Thong United 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 63%, draw 21%, Nakhon Ratchasima 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.