Bangkok United 1-4 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
47%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 31%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.25/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.26
+23% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.0 Crosses 17.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.28 xG 1.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
400 Passes 256
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
02.04.2025 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 1-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
27.09.2024 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
04.04.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
29.10.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-1 HT 0-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
17.02.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
1-4
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.04 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
357 Passes 230
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi swept aside Bangkok United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bangkok United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bangkok United had 59% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 41%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.04 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bangkok United and 0.50 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Ratchaburi?

Bangkok United 1-4 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 53%, draw 25%, Ratchaburi 23%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✗ Under 2.5
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