Ratchaburi 0-1 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
0.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.87
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +72%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
16.0 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 1.31
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
226 Passes 396
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 1-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
27.09.2024 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
04.04.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
29.10.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-1 HT 0-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
17.02.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
19.10.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
0-1
AWAY Bangkok United
1.73 xG 0.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United edged past Ratchaburi 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 50% of the ball to Bangkok United's 50%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.73 to 0.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ratchaburi.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.33 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United?

Ratchaburi 0-1 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 29%, draw 26%, Bangkok United 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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