BG Pathum United 2-0 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

BG Pathum United
2-0 HT 1-0
Thai Port FC
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.6pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BG Pathum United v Thai Port FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.59/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.22
-16% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.5 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BG Pathum United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Thai Port FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
320 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2025 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-0 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
22.09.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-2 HT 0-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
27.04.2024 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-3 HT 1-2 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
02.12.2023 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-3 HT 2-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
22.01.2023 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-1 HT 1-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
14.09.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 4-2 HT 2-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY

BG Pathum United 2-0 Thai Port FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
2-0
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.34 xG 1.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
210 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United beat Thai Port FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; BG Pathum United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 41% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 59%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.34 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.67 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC?

BG Pathum United 2-0 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 40%, draw 25%, Thai Port FC 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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