Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

Nakhon Ratchasima
1-1 HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nakhon Ratchasima v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 48%
+23% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.04/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.28
+9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.3 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.89 xG 1.85
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
205 Passes 372
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
11.08.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 2-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
28.01.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 3-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
28.08.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
01.05.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 2-0 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
27.11.2021 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 4-1 HT 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1-1
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.05 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
228 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima and Muang Thong United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Muang Thong United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 43% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 57%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.05 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 1.83 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United?

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 33%, draw 23%, Muang Thong United 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Muang Thong United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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