Maccabi Bnei Raina 0-1 Hapoel Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 30% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.74/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.00
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
15.7 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 398
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 2-0 HT 2-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
20.01.2024 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 0-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
30.09.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 1-2 HT 1-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
05.08.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 1-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
0-1
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
1.99 xG 0.86
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
413 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Haifa edged past Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Hapoel Haifa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Maccabi Bnei Raina had 55% of the ball to Hapoel Haifa's 45%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.99 to 0.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Maccabi Bnei Raina.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Maccabi Bnei Raina and 1.00 for Hapoel Haifa.

What was the final score of Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Haifa?

Maccabi Bnei Raina 0-1 Hapoel Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Bnei Raina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Bnei Raina 39%, draw 28%, Hapoel Haifa 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maccabi Bnei Raina), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Bnei Raina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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