Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ashdod v Hapoel Jerusalem — Team-Based Signals
Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Hapoel Jerusalem
İSR
2-0
HT 1-0
Ashdod
İSRTK
Ashdod 3-1 Hapoel Jerusalem — Actual Match Statistics
Ashdod beat Hapoel Jerusalem 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ashdod found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ashdod had 54% of the ball to Hapoel Jerusalem's 46%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 3.89 to 0.31.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ashdod and 1.00 for Hapoel Jerusalem.
What was the final score of Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem?
Ashdod 3-1 Hapoel Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ashdod 32%, draw 29%, Hapoel Jerusalem 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.