Bnei Sakhnin 1-2 Maccabi Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
32%
4.49
Away
49%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
4.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
20%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 35% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.3pp
32%
Draw
19%
+12.6pp
49%
Away Win
67%
-17.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+15.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-15.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 71%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.92/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.01
+15% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
17.5 Crosses 19.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bnei Sakhnin
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.87 xG 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
331 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-0 HT 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
17.01.2024 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 0-3 HT 0-1 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
27.09.2023 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-1 HT 1-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bnei Sakhnin
1-2
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
1.92 xG 3.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
260 Passes 395
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 43
7 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa edged past Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maccabi Haifa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bnei Sakhnin had 42% of the ball to Maccabi Haifa's 58%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.92 to 3.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Maccabi Haifa's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Haifa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bnei Sakhnin and 1.67 for Maccabi Haifa.

What was the final score of Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa?

Bnei Sakhnin 1-2 Maccabi Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bnei Sakhnin 19%, draw 32%, Maccabi Haifa 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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