Hapoel Eran Hadera 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.03/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.67
-45% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.9 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 0.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
282 Passes 316
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2024 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
09.12.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
0-1
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.86 xG 1.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
446 Passes 314
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Tel Aviv edged past Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Hapoel Tel Aviv made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hapoel Eran Hadera had 57% of the ball to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 43%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.86 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Eran Hadera had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hapoel Eran Hadera and 0.50 for Hapoel Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Hapoel Eran Hadera 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Eran Hadera win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Eran Hadera 36%, draw 28%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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