Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.51/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.88
+79% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
14.1 Crosses 8.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.28 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
341 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
24.02.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
20.12.2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
3-0
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.39 xG 0.74
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
487 Passes 195
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 2
21 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv swept aside Hapoel Beer Sheva 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maccabi Tel Aviv as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 68% of the ball to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 32%, shots finished 23-3, expected goals 2.39 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Tel Aviv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 0.33 for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 50%, draw 25%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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