Toluca 3-0 Tigres UANL — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 18 May 2025

Toluca WDLWD→
3 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Tigres UANL DLDDD→
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 05:49
Match Result
HomeVIEW
52%
1.85
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
21%
3.78
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.03
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.56
6+
5%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.54
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
19%
4.48
X/2
8%
8.25
X/X
17%
4.73
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
11%
6.5
2/X
5%
14.9
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Toluca v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Toluca The Market 54%
Signal
AWAY Tigres UANL The Market 26%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.93 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Toluca vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toluca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.65 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
403 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.05.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 1-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
02.02.2025 Toluca Toluca 1-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
07.11.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
03.03.2024 Toluca Toluca 2-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
05.10.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-2 HT 1-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
14.05.2023 Toluca Toluca 3-1 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK

Toluca 3-0 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toluca
3 - 0
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.97 xG 0.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
328 Passes 380
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 10
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Toluca vs Tigres UANL
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Toluca ran out comfortable winners over Tigres UANL 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Tigres UANL saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.97 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Toluca against 1.17 for Tigres UANL.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL Result & Final Score

Toluca 3 - 0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Toluca 52%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toluca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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