Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM squeezed past Pachuca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Pumas UNAM made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 51% of the ball to Pachuca's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.77 to 1.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pachuca.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.50 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca?
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 38%, draw 22%, Pachuca 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.