Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Pachuca 3-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca beat Pumas UNAM 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Pachuca had 41% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 59%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.57 to 1.20 — on chances, Pumas UNAM could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM?
Pachuca 3-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 45%, draw 28%, Pumas UNAM 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.