Tijuana 3-1 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.82/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
+28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.9 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.66 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.02.2025 Tijuana Tijuana 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
07.11.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
15.04.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
30.09.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.01.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-0 HT 2-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
3-1
AWAY FC Juarez
2.72 xG 0.15
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
462 Passes 178
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 4
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana saw off FC Juarez 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tijuana had 68% of the ball to FC Juarez's 32%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.72 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tijuana and 1.33 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs FC Juarez?

Tijuana 3-1 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 49%, draw 24%, FC Juarez 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tijuana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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