Jeju United 0-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.91
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
15%
5.39
X/2
14%
5.55
X/X
13%
4.19
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.08
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.06/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.78
-14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.3 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gwangju
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
10.11.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
30.06.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
01.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
01.10.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
0-1
AWAY Gwangju
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
323 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gwangju found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jeju United had 52% of the ball to Gwangju's 48%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeju United and 1.33 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Gwangju?

Jeju United 0-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 38%, draw 27%, Gwangju 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jeju United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeju United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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