Waterford FC 5-1 St Mochtas AFC Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
27%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
74%
-23.4pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.6pp
27%
Away Win
10%
+17.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY St Mochtas AFC Dublin EU Bookmakers 12%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs St Mochtas AFC Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC swept aside St Mochtas AFC Dublin 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waterford FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs St Mochtas AFC Dublin?

Waterford FC 5-1 St Mochtas AFC Dublin in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs St Mochtas AFC Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 51%, draw 22%, St Mochtas AFC Dublin 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waterford FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waterford FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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