CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.35/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.78
+10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
21.10.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
20.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.01.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
14.12.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-0
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia squeezed past Arda Kardzhali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 54% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.67 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 43%, draw 26%, Arda Kardzhali 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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